These are not only related to energy security and environmental pressures but some prevailing challenges as well. Considering the tremendous increase in the vehicle stocks with the volume of both passenger and freight transport, South Africa’s fossil fuel consumption in the transport sector has increased to around 500,000 barrels per day (tb/d) in 2022 and the import reliance will leap by 85%. The CO 2 emissions in South Africa’s transport sector in 2019 was estimated to be around 60 MtCO 2- eq. South Africa is the second largest economy and the biggest energy user in Africa, having the most sophisticated transport system, and remains the largest GHG emitter in the continent. With the introduction of additional energy policies, the trend is projected to persist in the developed regions. Statistical records in recent times have shown that the ratio of increase in transport sector’s emissions in the developing regions of the world is higher than in the developed regions, specifically, North America and Europe. The transportation activities and primarily the combustion of fossil fuels and the resultant carbon emissions are among the activities significantly causing warming. It is observed that the largest contribution to the greenhouse effect is produced by CO 2 emissions. The outcome of the research advances climate change mitigation strategy and proffers the required attention to policy makers in South Africa and Africa as a continent.įrom the accounts of, contributions of the various gases to global warming are CO 2 (53%), chloro-fluro carbons (CFCs) (24%), methane (CH4) (15%), and nitrous oxide (N 2O) (5%). Energy intensity and the approach to energy consumption are significant in mitigating carbon emissions, which is due to the possibilities of high fuel efficiency and pollution decrease. The results indicate that GDP and passenger vehicles contributed largely to CO 2- eq emissions, however, the impact varies across the three provinces. The characterized parametric panel dataset for Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal and Western Cape were assessed from 2016 to 2020 to make objective function determinations. Carbon emissions coefficient method, (CECM) is made applicable to determine the quantification of the forms of fossil fuels utilized in the transportation sector. The transport sector of the main buoyant economic provinces of South Africa for a consecutive period of five years was investigated using STIRPAT models. The paper utilized a panel dataset to investigate the effects of the impact factors, namely, economic growth, energy intensity, energy consumption, urbanisation, passenger vehicles and transport infrastructure investments on carbon emissions (CO 2- eq).

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